Tuesday, July 20, 2010

NBA News 2010: Grading The Deal: Wolves Add Beasley, Ridnour

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An image of Miami Heat center Michael Beasley.Image via WikipediaWhile the Raptors were uninterested in Beasley in a sign-and-trade for Chris Bosh, preferring the traded player exception and picks, the Bobcats and were absolutely interested in giving him a new start. The Rockets also might have been interested, but it is difficult to determine his true market since the Heat were only interested in sending him out free and clear. What we do know about his market is that it was absolutely soft regardless of how it is spun; if the Bulls were desperate to clear cap space for the Big 3 and wanted to shed Derrick Rose for example, we do know they would have had many more teams interested and multiple unprotected first rounders would be offered.
But Minnesota is undoubtedly receiving a talented player, who won't turn 22 until after the first of the year. In terms of pure basketball ability, I still think he is the best player from the 2008 Draft, but there are several things working against him.
1. He is a classic tweener.
2. He has suffered from depression drug addiction.
The former is a bigger concern from Minnesota's perspective than the latter, because Beasley is absolutely not a Chris Washburn case. He is a good kid who has had a very high opinion of himself for years and the past year has sobered him up metaphorically and literally.
I remember speaking to Beasley while he was still in high school and he came across as insufferably arrogant, but he backed it up completely at Kansas State.
Beasley hasn't completely backed it up while in the NBA, but his first two seasons need to be put into a proper perspective. His rookie PER was 17.2 and it dropped to 16.1 this past season. The reason for the decline was largely predicated on his struggles with his jumper. He is a good pure shooter, but his game is predicated on confidence and that disappeared this past season.
Beasley is a high volume shooter and it is difficult for any coach to justify his usage when his eFG% is 46.3%. Depending on how Kurt Rambis plays Beasley, I expect that to immediately look like an outlier and he will become a 52.0% eFG% scorer at the very least.
If there is a path Beasley could optimistically look at, it would certainly be Chauncey Billups. The Celtics drafted Billups third overall in 1997, but traded him during his rookie season to the Raptors for Kenny Anderson. He was quickly traded to his hometown Nuggets, who eventually dealt him to the Magic. A big part of why he bounced around was injuries, but clearly multiple teams gave up on the talent he showed in Boulder.
Despite its simplicity, this easily has the potential of becoming David Kahn's best move as GM.
Grade for Wolves: A
I think the Triangle is a good system for Beasley eventually, but I worry about how long it will take him to learn it. He would be more likely to make an immediate impact if he had been traded to the Raptors, or the Rockets, but it is a situation that should benefit him in the long run.
Grade for Beasley: B
Miami accomplished its goal, so trading Beasley for nothing is simply the cost of doing business. But there has to be an uneasiness and a sense of regret in trading away a second overall pick just two years into his career. Even Darko Milicic, Beasley's new teammate, lasted two and a half seasons before the Pistons traded him to the Magic and they at least received a first round pick back in return.
Grade for Heat: C+
The Wolves have also added Luke Ridnour, signing him to a four-year, $16 million contract. I've been a mild Kahn apologist, waiting on him to finish cooking the meal before questioning the manner in which he's mixing up the ingredients. But if we are to equate point guards broccoli, how much broccoli is really needed?
Kahn appeared to sign Sessions last summer in a 'why not' move and grabbing Ridnour feels identical. He appears to be completely in asset compilation mode, but the problem with Ridnour is he represents an asset with a fast approaching expiration date.
Grade for Wolves: D+
Ridnour's market wasn't as lucrative as he might have been expecting, but at least this deal will let him play out the remaining seasons of his non-veteran's minimum seasons making more than twice as much. My biggest recommendation for Ridnour would be to rent in Minneapolis, because he'll probably be traded well before the 2012 Presidential election.
Grade for Ridnour: B
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