Showing posts with label Darren Collison. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Darren Collison. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

NBA News 2010: Who's Really the Best Point Guard in the Class of 2009?

Ty Lawson, formerly of the North Carolina Tar ...Image via Wikipedia
Beyond the three lottery PGs, this draft class also happened to have a number of quality PGs buried in the late-teens/early-20s of the draft, namely Jrue Holiday, Ty Lawson, Darren Collison and Eric Maynor. Already, Evans, Curry, Jennings, Holiday and Collison will enter the season with the starting role of their respective teams; that means 1/6 of the NBA's teams will be led by this draft class already. 

Evans, the Rookie of the Year, should enter this season as the tentative favorite, but Curry's Team USA experience gives him a unique advantage in the race. Considering the upgrades to Jennings' Bucks team, it'd be foolish to count him out, and with Darren Collison getting a fresh opportunity in Indiana to pair alongside All-Star Danny Granger, he could officially become the surprise of the class this coming season.


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Monday, September 6, 2010

NBA News 2010: Scouts’ Views: 5 guys about to make it big

WESTWOOD, CA - JANUARY 17:  Jrue Holiday #21 o...Image by Getty Images via @daylife
1. Jrue Holiday, PG, 76ers. He is long and talented and has really only scratched his potential. But the more he played last season, the better he got. The question has always been: How well can he run a team? 

2. Darren Collison, PG, Pacers. When you look at the numbers he put up as a starter when Chris Paul was hurt, obviously, if he gets big minutes he is going to produce. 

3. Kevin Love, PF, Timberwolves. He has gotten better as a rebounder, and he is one of the more versatile power forwards out there. He can shoot it from medium and long range, and he is a tough matchup. 

4. D.J. Augustin, PG, Bobcats. Someone has to be the point guard. Now, with Felton gone, he can do the same with Augustin. He can shoot the 3, but he has to do better at playing within Larry's system and not trying to do too much on his own.

5. J.J. Hickson, PF, Cavaliers. He is a beast inside and a great athlete. He could eventually block 2.5 to three shots per game. He will be a good rebounder, and although he might not have the smoothest offensive game, he runs the floor very well—and they're going to be a good transition team.


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Thursday, August 12, 2010

NBA News 2010: Fantasy Basketball: Darren Collison big winner in trade

UCLA point guard Darren Collison driving for a...Image via Wikipedia
But beyond the formation of the new triumvirate in South Beach, there have been minor moves all across the NBA landscape during the past several weeks, many of which will impact the strategies of shrewd fantasy owners. Most notably, a major four-team trade went down Wednesday that alters the value of fantasy mainstays such as Troy Murphy and Trevor Ariza, and created an opportunity for Darren Collison, who impressed in Chris Paul's absence last season, to grab the starting point guard job in Indiana and become perhaps the top sleeper point guard for the draft. Here are some players impacted by the recent offseason moves:

Darren Collison, PG, Indiana Pacers: The diminutive Collison is the big winner of Wednesday's mini-blockbuster, we're finally spelled of the Earl Watson/T.J. Ford dirty duo, and now we get a chance to see how legit Collison's 18.8 points, 9.1 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.0 3s per game in 37 starts last season truly were. His turnovers were horrendous (4.1 per game as a starter, 2.7 overall), as those of rookie point guards typically are, but his percentages are mind-blowing (.485 on field goals and .841 on free throws as a starter), perhaps even more impressive than the gaudy point and assist totals. The real question: How high is too high to draft Collison? It's insane to expect a replication of those numbers during the span of an entire season with a worse team at his disposal and defenses centering on both him and Danny Granger. In his starts in 2009-10, Collison was playing more than 40 minutes per game out of necessity, something the Pacers won't want to do with the centerpiece of their "three-year plan." 

Trevor Ariza, SF/SG, New Orleans Hornets: Swapping Collison for Ariza was also done undoubtedly to appease Chris Paul, but it makes sense for the Hornets this year if CP3 stays healthy, as Ariza will team with David West and Marcus Thornton to provide Paul with solid ammo. Ariza's worst fantasy traits are his inefficient percentages (.394 field goals, .649 free throws), which should improve with a better supporting cast, especially his field-goal shooting (which stands at a career 44.2 percent). Ariza should improve upon his overall numbers from last season, even if he takes and makes fewer 3-pointers, and should be considered an upgrade after the trade.

Courtney Lee, SG, Houston Rockets: While he likely had a starting role in New Jersey, he'll be the sixth man in Houston. Martin is still fragile, averaging just 52 games per season during the past three seasons, and the Rockets don't have the depth at swingman the Nets do, so if Martin misses time as usual, Lee will see big minutes. This move is basically a wash, and the real winners at the shooting guard position are Terrence Williams and Anthony Morrow in New Jersey.

Troy Murphy, PF/C, New Jersey Nets: Murphy will pair nicely with Brook Lopez and can backup at center at times so they don't have to rely upon the shaky Johan Petro. His numbers won't change much with the shift in scenery, namely his excellent rebounding/3-point combo, although playing with a better supporting cast should allow him to see more open looks and potentially improve his field goal shooting (47 percent in each of the past two seasons) a couple of ticks.

Shane Battier, SF, Rockets: Upgrade Battier -- who has consistently been a valuable glue player -- because he will hurt you less in the scoring categories and see his points get back into the double-digits like they were from 2005-07 with the Grizzlies.

Mike Dunleavy, SG/SF, Pacers: He could eclipse the 15.1 points per game of two seasons ago, and without the hassle of handling the ball so much because of the lack of a decent point guard, his field goal percentage should also increase. Dunleavy is one of the quiet winners of this trade, as he should find himself once again in the realm of fantasy relevance, as the Pacers will rely upon his offensive versatility with limited options behind Collison and Granger.

Roy Hibbert, C, Pacers: Like Dunleavy, Hibbert will benefit from the absence of Murphy in the paint, and if he can stay out of foul trouble, he should average more than the 25 minutes per game he garnered in '09-10. That could push his averages toward 15 points, eight rebounds and two blocks per contest, with field goal shooting in the upper-40s and free throw percentages in the mid-70s. 

Ronnie Brewer, SG, Chicago Bulls: Throw in the fact that Luol Deng has averaged 54 games per season during the past three years, and the fact that Brewer can slide to the 3, and he should find himself in a more statistically lucrative situation than he was last year, when he shuffled from Utah to Memphis amid injuries. Steals specialists are hard to find, and Brewer is one of the best thieves in the game (1.5 steals per game for his career in 26 minutes per game), so consider him an upgrade after signing with the Bulls, a team with several top-tier players but not much depth.

Ramon Sessions, PG, Cleveland Cavaliers: With the King gone, there are tons of assists to go around, and Sessions will also have to shoulder a significant scoring load. I could easily see him averaging 15 points and seven assists with more than a steal per game and decent percentages, as well as a solid turnover rate. That would make Sessions a nice sleeper once again come draft day. 

Shaquille O'Neal, C, Boston Celtics: I'm avoiding the Big Leprechaun in the fantasy game as I have for the past several seasons, simply because the free throw percentage (.496 on 4.3 attempts per game in Cleveland in 2009-10) and unpredictability isn't worth having him as a team mascot. That being said, he'll likely assume a bigger role in Boston than he did in Cleveland, especially for the first chunk of the season while Kendrick Perkins is sidelined. I could see him hovering around 14 points and seven rebounds with 1.5 blocks per game, but his health is unpredictable and free-throw shooting predictably bad.

Linas Kleiza, PF/SF, Toronto Raptors: Kleiza slides into the starting small forward job in Toronto after the trade that rid the Raptors of Hedo Turkoglu, which equals a big upgrade in Kleiza's stats, as he was mired behind Carmelo Anthony in Denver for a couple seasons before bouncing to Europe for the 2009-10 campaign. He made a name for himself in deep leagues as a source of 3s (0.9 per game for his career despite averaging just 19 minutes) before the move, and could easily flirt with 2.0 3s per game this season in a starting role for the Euro-looking Raptors. 


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NBA News 2010: Looking Deeper At The Collison Acquisition

UCLA point guard Darren Collison driving for a...Image via WikipediaThe Indiana Pacers pulled off the seemingly impossible on Wednesday when they parlayed their patience and an expiring contract into the point guard they’ve been looking for since the turn of the millennium.
I detailed the four-team, five-player trade in ‘Grading the Deal’ format shortly after the trade was finalized, but given the fact that the Pacers were the winners of the swap, I figured a more in-depth look was needed.
For those that may have missed it, here is the breakdown of Wednesday’s deal: Indiana acquired Darren Collison and James Posey from New Orleans, New Jersey got Troy Murphy from Indiana, Houston landed Courtney Lee from New Jersey and New Orleans added Trevor Ariza from Houston.
There are a number of ways to view this deal from the Pacers’ perspective.
Pacers president Larry Bird and general manager David Morway have been preaching patience since the start of their three-year plan and for the first time since it was implemented two years ago, the roster is visibly improved.
Regardless of the tinkering they still have left, let’s review the developments that led up to Collison landing in Indiana.
-- Hovering near the luxury tax threshold, the Pacers were handcuffed in terms of what they could do to improve their roster heading into the summer.
-- They drafted Paul George, yet another talented wing player to add to a stable of players at shooting guard and small forward.
-- Deals were discussed, but the entire month of July (and nearly two weeks in August) passed without Indiana making a single move aside from signing George and second-rounder Lance Stephenson.
-- They were seemingly left to target stop-gap options at point guard after they were unable to work any type of sign-and-trade or outright trade for another team’s spare guard.
-- Rumors that Chris Paul wanted out of New Orleans burned red-hot and then cooled down after he met with new general manager Dell Demps and coach Monty Williams. All of a sudden, the Hornets were put in a position where they needed to do two things. They needed to assure fans that they were committed to CP3, while simultaneously convincing him they are serious about putting building around him.
-- The Nets needed a power forward and the Rockets were open to trimming some of their payroll. Alas, the four-team deal became a realistic possibility and in a rare feat these days, the trade is discussed and nearly completed before reports even surfaced.
The addition of Collison is exciting, but it’s even more so when you consider that the Pacers could have panicked and acquired a mid-level veteran to start for a season or two rather than a young piece to add to their core.
What trading Murphy means
While it’s true that Indiana now has less cap room next summer – approximately $33 million based on a $58 million salary cap as opposed to the $36.5 million they projected prior to the Collison/Murphy deal -- they accomplished two things by dealing one of many expiring deals and also their highest-paid player.
-- They lowered their payroll this season by $5 million, which gives them greater flexibility over the remainder of the summer. They could sign a low-level free agent and still remain under the luxury tax line, but with 16 players under contract (not including rookie Magnum Rolle and including T.J. Ford) that appears unlikely at this point.
Bird said Wednesday that he doesn’t expect to go into the season with the current roster and I’d be very surprised if they did. They now have the ability to take on a few million in payroll for the 2010-11 season in a trade and even give up more bodies than they get in a potential deal. It’s much easier to negotiate a trade when pennies aren’t being pinched.
- I had recommended it and I mentioned it in my GTD, but the Pacers took a very smart approach to their projected cap space in 2011. The deal not only got them Collison, but it was also proactive since it would have been hard for them to sign players like Collison and even Posey next summer. The relative unattractiveness of Indiana notwithstanding (at least compared to Miami and Los Angeles), it’s impossible to sign a young, point guard to such an inexpensive deal because teams hold onto them like gold. In addition, a veteran like Posey would likely have desired an immediate contender.
The Collison effect
As a result of all the waiting and the deficiency Indiana has seen at point guard in the last ten years or so, many are anointing Collison as an All-Star already. While that’s not out of the question down the road, expectations should be tempered.
He stepped in and performed extremely well for New Orleans when Paul was injured last season, averaging 18.8 points and 9.1 assists, but his run as the team’s starter lasted just 37 games and his supporting cast (David West and Emeka Okafor) was a little more stable and consistent than what he’ll have right away in Indiana.
What Collison did do that should carry over immediately is post a True Shooting percentage of .546 and a solid assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.14, which displays his good instincts in terms of both shot selection and passing.
He is the type of point guard that can make the players around him better, something Indiana hasn’t really had since Mark Jackson (1994-2000). With that said, Jackson TS% topped out at .568 (1996) and was often far below Collison’s rookie mark. It remains to be seen if Collison can be the leader Jackson was, but at least the days of Tyus Edney, Kevin OIlie, Jamaal Tinsley, Eddie Gill, Anthony Johnson, Darrell Armstrong, Sarunas Jasikevicius, Keith McLeod, Travis Diener, T.J. Ford, Jarrett Jack and Earl Watson are behind the Pacers.
Not only is Collision perhaps the best point guard option Indiana has had in a decade, but he’s also ideal for Jim O’Brien’s system. He’s fast, level-headed and a good shooter. He’s also excellent defensively, something the Pacers will likely encourage him to improve further.
http://pacers.realgm.com/articles/198/20100812/looking_deeper_at_the_collison_acquisition/
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