Friday, November 30, 2012

NBA News 2012: Dangerous Decision by David Stern

English: Gregg Popovich, head coach of the San...
English: Gregg Popovich, head coach of the San Antonio Spurs, against the Denver Nuggets, Dec 22, 2010. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

David Stern’s response was swift and aggressive in tone. Once word leaked that Spurs coach Gregg Popovich had decided to rest four of his core players (Tim Duncan, Tony Parker, Manu Ginobili and Danny Green) in Thursday night’s matchup against the Miami HEAT, Stern pledged to take action.

”I apologize to all NBA fans,” Stern said. ”This was an unacceptable decision by the San Antonio Spurs and substantial sanctions will be forthcoming.”

These are but a few highlights on Gregg Popovich’s resume. He is one of the greatest coaches to ever stand on an NBA sideline. I assume we can all agree that the man has a pretty solid understanding of what it takes to win in the NBA, no?

Yet, somehow, millions of NBA fans across the land, countless folks on Twitter, and media pundits in print and online, feel comfortable telling Popovich how to do his job.

More to the heart of the matter: Does David Stern have a more complete understanding than Popovich of what’s best for San Antonio as a franchise?

Via these forthcoming “substantial sanctions,” Stern is about to set an incredibly dangerous precedent, and may well lead the NBA down an incredibly slippery slope.

Stern, and others, claim that Popovich is guilty of “embarrassing” the NBA. However, this is NOT the first time Popovich has partaken in the practice of resting his best players. Last season, Tim Duncan got a night off, and received a “DNP-Old” next to his name in the box score. The interents laughed and laughed.

The only difference last night was the NBA’s reaction to Popovich’s decision. The main beef seems to stem from the fact that Spurs were playing on national television against the mega-popular Miami HEAT.

Last April, after Pop rested his top guns (and even himself, by not making a road trip), NBA deputy commissioner Adam Silver went on the record, stating the NBA did NOT have an issue with this concept. “The strategic resting of particular players on particular nights is within the discretion of the teams. And Gregg Popovich in particular is probably the last coach that I would second-guess,” said Silver

Apparently, this time the actions were unacceptable because Pop chose to sit his stars during a nationally televised game on TNT.

Key Spurs sitting angered many people; nobody is disputing that. Most fans who paid for a ticket to the arena, as well as the millions of others that sat down on their couch in front of their TV’s would obviously prefer to watch the Spurs matchup against the HEAT with a full compliment of players. We all agree on that point. The question is simply this: Why should Gregg Popovich care about anything other than what he believes puts his team in the best position to win an NBA championship?

The goal of any great franchise is to win a title. Period. It’s not to help sell tickets, or drive up rating for TV networks. If a coach decides that resting his veterans for a regular season game in November gives them even a slightly better chance of winning a playoff game in June, then that coach should do what he believes is right; regardless if it affects other people’s viewing experience.

Here are Popovich’s comments prior to tip-off last night (courtesy of the AP): ”Everybody has to make decisions about their schedule, about players playing and back-to-backs and trips and that sort of thing. ‘In our case, this month we’ve had 11 away games, after tonight. We’ve had an eight-day trip and a 10-day trip, and we’re ending it with four (games) in five nights here. I think it’d be unwise to be playing our guys in that kind of a situation, given their history.”

”Perhaps it’ll give us an opportunity to stay on the court with Memphis on Saturday night,” Popovich said. ”Historically, when you’re on a long road trip, that first game when you come home is really tough. And Memphis is one of the best teams in the league. They’re of much more concern to us than playing four games in five nights. It’s pretty logical.”

Towards the end of every season, the NBA universe seem to inevitably stumble into the debate over which teams are “tanking” and what their punishments should be. I have to admit, I always find it humorous, this idea that every team should always go all out in an effort to win every regular season game, as if that’s all that matters. The argument that a coach shouldn’t play his rookies down the stretch of a lost season is ludicrous. This short-sighted viewpoint simply isn’t practical. Again, the objective of every organization is to a win a championship. All moves/ signings/ trades/ decisions should be made with that end-goal in mind. For instance, on July 11, 1996, the Lakers traded their starting center, Vlade Divac, to the Charlotte Hornets for a skinny kid out of high school named Kobe Bryant. Kobe was obviously not ready to contribute on the NBA level as an 18 year-old, while Divac had a fine season for the Hornets in 1997. The short-term result was the Lakers taking a slight step back in the trade’s immediate aftermath. But, looking back at the big picture, I don’t think any Lakers fans have a problem with Jerry West’s decision.

Sometimes teams have to make small short-term sacrifices, in order to win big down the road. And who would have a better idea of what’s best for San Antonio long-term: Gregg Popovich or David Stern?

Furthermore, what if Stern had forced Pop to play his stars last night, and Duncan and Parker bumped knees in the 1st quarter? What happens if Manu Ginobili sprained an ankle and misses two weeks? Would Stern then feel “embarrassed?” Popovich would be the one forced to deal with the consequences of bending to public sentiments.

http://www.hoopsworld.com/a-dangerous-decision-by-david-stern/

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Monday, November 19, 2012

NBA News 2012: Bynum's setback

Andrew Bynum
Andrew Bynum (Photo credit: Keith Allison)

The Philadelphia 76ers fear All-Star center Andrew Bynum might have done additional damage to his knees while bowling, according to sources close to the situation.

Multiple sources told ESPN on Saturday that Bynum suffered an unspecified injury this month while bowling. On Friday, Bynum revealed that — on top of the issues with his right knee that could keep him sidelined until January — he also had suffered a “setback” with his left knee.

There are several activities that are prohibited in standard NBA player contracts, but bowling is not one of them. Bynum is known to enjoy bowling.

http://www.hoopsworld.com/source-bynums-setback-caused-by-bowling/

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Sunday, November 18, 2012

NBA News 2012: Do Heat need Wade?

Washington Wizards v/s Miami Heat December 18,...
Washington Wizards v/s Miami Heat December 18, 2010 (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Miami is 20-5 over the past three seasons without its All-Star shooting guard. The Heat beat the Denver Nuggets at the Pepsi Center for the first time in a decade Thursday while Wade watched from the bench because of a sprained foot. The Palm Beach (Fla.) Post reports Wade won’t play against the Suns, either, but does it matter? LeBron James runs the show for Miami. He and Wade form dynamic fast breaks, but in the halfcourt offense, Wade often seems useless because he’s the worst three-point shooter among Miami’s guards. Mike Miller and Ray Allen offer James perfect kick-out options on pick-and-rolls while also not demanding the ball or taking bad shots. Miami has a better per-minute point differential without Wade on the court, as shown by 82games.com. So it’s easy to see why the Heat keep winning without Wade.

But there’s a counterpoint: James can’t do it all the time. Even the best player in the NBA has bad nights and needs breaks. Wade remains among the best scorers and players in the league, and his own creativity allows James to take breathers. So the Heat do need Wade over the course of a season, even if they’re better without him over short stretches.

http://www.hoopsworld.com/tonights-nba-schedule-do-heat-really-need-dwyane-wade/

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Friday, November 16, 2012

NBA News 2012: Granger's importance

Indiana Pacers logo 1990–2005.
Indiana Pacers logo 1990–2005. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

There has been a lot of talk in recent years about Danny Granger’s true importance to the Indiana Pacers. As the Pacers rose from the wreckage of four-straight Lottery appearances, Granger became the default No. 1 on a balanced roster built around depth and continuity.

Just nine games into the season, Granger’s value has been revealed to a team that was projected to be among the Eastern Conference elite. He is expected to miss a total of three months with a knee issue. A midseason return can’t come soon enough for the Pacers.

Despite a youthful roster, Frank Vogel’s crew featured a plodding offense (19th in pace) that scored 104.6 points per 100 possessions (ninth) in 2011-12. That may have been a product of the compressed 66-game schedule combined with the team’s depth and athleticism. From 2007-08 to 2010-11, the Pacers ranked 19th, 15th, 26th and 22nd in offensive rating. They are supposed to be a defensive-minded team with an average offense.

Without Granger, the Pacers' offense has been horrible.

The Pacers are scoring just 95.5 points per 100 possessions, better than only the 76ers and winless Wizards. They have maintained a very slow pace (89.8 possessions per 48 minutes, 28th in the league), but their effective field goal percentage has dipped significantly. They rank dead last in eFG% (.433), down from .475 in 2011-12.

Vogel took the ball out of Granger’s hands a bit last season with the addition of George Hill and David West, as well as the emergence of Paul George and Roy Hibbert. His usage rate hit a three-year low of .261, still the highest among the team’s rotation players over the full season. Leandro Barbosa beat him out by a few percentage points as the lead guard off the bench following a midseason trade.

The coaching staff has had to distribute more than a quarter of the team’s possessions in the wake of Granger’s absence. He entered the league as an athletic, defensive-minded wing player, but his improved range allowed him to become a fringe All-Star and pseudo-franchise player.

There have been questions about Vogel’s play-calling and the invisibility of Roy Hibbert after signing a big contract, but Granger’s injury is clearly the team’s biggest problem. Indiana was 11.7 points per 100 possessions better with Granger on the court last season.

He was one of three Pacers to post more than eight WARP in 2011-12. He contributed 8.5 wins above replacement player, ahead of Paul George (8.2) and slightly behind Roy Hibbert (8.7). When news broke that Granger would miss significant time, the belief was that Hill, George and Hibbert would absorb his touches and as emerging talent they would do so effectively. The reality is that their effectiveness has taken a hit.

George had a True Shooting percentage of .555 last season, but through the first two weeks of the season that number has dipped to .479. His usage rate has jumped from .195 to .208.

Hill has seen his usage jump from .173 to .209 without Granger. He posted a TS% of .557 in his first season with the Pacers, but that has dropped to .494 in the early stages of this year.

Hibbert, who came into the season with the highest expectations, has actually used fewer possessions (.212 to .192). His TS% has dropped from .539 to .391. He is averaging fewer than two free throws per game despite a career-high 4.1 offensive rebounds per game. His block percentage (6.1%) is also a career-high, but his numbers of the defensive glass have fallen considerably.

Nine games is a fairly small sample size over the course of an 82-game season, but the panic button is within sight. With just three wins, they are in the bottom third of the NBA despite stellar defense. They have also played just two clubs that qualified for the playoffs last spring, making their record even more alarming.

It is also worth noting that they have already played six games that were decided by five points or fewer, an extremely high rate and performance in those games typically regresses to the mean. The schedule will only get tougher after a rather vanilla first two weeks, especially with the absence of the even more appreciated Granger putting everything into question.

The trio of George, Hibbert and Hill has had time to adjust to basketball without Granger. They now need to step up with increased importance or suffer the consequences. For the team, those concerns relate to playoff status. Hibbert and Hill, they have their multiyear deals, but George is next in line. Instead of increasing his value, his play sans Granger might reduce it.

http://basketball.realgm.com/blog/224513/Granger%E2%80%99s_Importance_Becomes_Clear

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NBA News 2012: First Heat Win In Denver Since 2002

English: Wizards v/s Heat 03/30/11
English: Wizards v/s Heat 03/30/11 (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Yes, the mighty Heat won for the first time in Denver since January of 2002 behind LeBron James’ 27 points, seven rebounds, 12 assists, a steal and three blocks on 11-of-23 shooting.  If you’re lucky enough to own LeBron, chances are you’re winning your league.  Bron hurt his shoulder last night, but played through it and I’m not concerned.  The big news is that Dwyane Wade was out with his foot injury, which he aggravated in Wednesday’s disastrous performance and we basically saw this DNP coming from a mile away.  Wade’s current problems include the foot, a jammed thumb and the surgically-repaired knee he’s playing on.  The Heat are off until Saturday at Phoenix and Wade looks like a game-time decision for that one.  Mike Miller started in his place and had 12 points, five rebounds and four 3-pointers in 24 minutes.  He might be worth a deep-league add if you’re desperate for 3-pointers, but I think I’d rather own Atlanta’s Kyle Korver in that instance.

http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/nba/41916/45/dose-knicks-stay-undefeated?pg=2
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Tuesday, November 13, 2012

NBA News 2012: Celtics Pacing An Aging Kevin Garnett

English: Kevin Garnett playing with the Minnes...
English: Kevin Garnett playing with the Minnesota Timberwolves (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

As Doc Rivers motioned for him to sub out, Kevin Garnett desperately wanted to stay in, begging his Boston Celtics coach that he had enough left in the tank. Perhaps Rivers would have caved to Garnett’s plead in past years, but not this Saturday night and, most of all, not this season.

“That’s never going to happen,” Rivers adamantly told Garnett on the sideline as he walked over to try to state his case with just over seven minutes left in the fourth quarter and the Milwaukee Bucks leading 71-68.

Indeed, Garnett didn’t get his wish. He has played 17 rugged NBA seasons, but there’s been no fluctuation with his drive. Over and over, Garnett has declared this season that there would have been no point in returning on a three-year contract extension if he took each game lightly. And he’ll privately make clear he’s refreshed, stable in the mind to take a beating inside night in and out.

The Celtics’ new plan for Garnett this season, however, goes against all the principles that have kept this proud, mighty veteran going strong at age of 36. They’ve installed a 30-minutes-per-night regimen, with a desire to keep it even lower. Yes, Garnett played 35 minutes on Wednesday against Washington, but that came after four days off and with two days before the next game.

Had Rivers stuck with Garnett at that seven-minute, 13-second mark on the second night of a back-to-back Saturday, Garnett would have eclipsed 32 minutes for the game. Instead, Garnett went to the bench and returned over two minutes later, with 5:05 left in a tie game.

Rivers was still seething in a hallway outside the Celtics’ locker room after a 96-92 win over the Bucks, shaking his head toward the topic of Garnett’s minutes. As difficult as it has been for Garnett to accept the team’s new plan, Rivers is finding it equally as challenging to assure his minutes hover around – or under – 30 minutes in an effort to sustain his energy over a full season. It is testing his discipline, and when he took a glance at the box score and saw Garnett had surpassed the 30-minute mark by 46 seconds on Saturday, Rivers let out a sigh and simply revealed:

“It’s hard to [manage]; you have no idea how hard that is to know you have 30 minutes to play with. It’s hard. And honestly we want to get it under that. Our goal this year is 27 [minutes per game].”


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Monday, November 12, 2012

NBA News 2012: Lakers found fill-in for Phil Jackson

Los Angeles Lakers Wordmark
Los Angeles Lakers Wordmark (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

The saga surrounding the surprising hiring of Mike D’Antoni, and not Phil Jackson, to be the Los Angeles Lakers’ next coach continues to unravel.

The story will remain front and center for now, in part, because D’Antoni isn’t even here yet. A recent knee replacement surgery is making travel difficult for D’Antoni, and team officials said he was trying to make the trip from his home in the New York area to Los Angeles by Wednesday in time to possibly coach against his old Phoenix Suns team Friday night.

Adding to the strangeness of Monday at Lakers camp in addition to D’Antoni not being there, the two most obvious Lakers who could put a positive spin on his hiring — Kobe Bryant and Steve Nash — had departed the Lakers training facility before news reporters were allowed in.

Nash won two MVP awards playing in D’Antoni’s system with the Suns and said in recent days that a reunion with his old coach would be fine by him.

Bryant chose No. 8 for his original Lakers jersey number because, when he was a kid growing up in Italy, where his father played in the pro league, his basketball hero was a crafty point guard named Mike D’Antoni, who wore No. 8 for one of the Italian league teams.

That left forward Pau Gasol, who never played on a team coached by D’Antoni, as the most veteran Laker available.

“Everybody had expectations, and they were all pretty high,” Gasol said at Monday’s practice of the feeling that Jackson was on his way back. “We understand what Phil brings to the table and how successful he’s been and what he means to the city and the franchise. But it couldn’t happen, for whatever reason, so we move forward. That’s what we do as professionals.”


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Thursday, November 8, 2012

NBA News 2012: Granger Out Three Months

BOSTON, MA - MARCH 16:  Danny Granger #33 is p...
BOSTON, MA - MARCH 16: Danny Granger #33 is pulled away from the referee by teamamte Tyler Hansbrough #50 of the Indiana Pacers on March 16, 2011 at the TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. Granger was called for a techical foul. The Celtics defeated the Indiana Pacers 92-80. (Image credit: Getty Images via @daylife)

Danny Granger received an injection on Tuesday to treat left patellar tendinosis. The procedure was performed by Dr. James Andrews.

The Indiana Pacers' medical personnel are looking at a recovery time of approximately three months.

http://basketball.realgm.com/wiretap/224364/Granger_Out_Three_Months_Following_Injection

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Tuesday, November 6, 2012

NBA News 2012: Rondo Accepts Responsibility For Celtics' Struggles

BOSTON, MA - FEBRUARY 15:  Rajon Rondo #9 of t...
BOSTON, MA - FEBRUARY 15: Rajon Rondo #9 of the Boston Celtics wins the jump ball against Greg Monroe #10 of the Detroit Pistons on February 15, 2012 at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. The Detroit Pistons defeated the Boston Celtics 98-88. (Image credit: Getty Images via @daylife)

Rajon Rondo accepted responsibility for the Boston Celtics’ 0-2 start to the season.

“We have to trust one another defensively,” Rondo said after allowing 21 points and 13 assists to Brandon Jennings in a 99-88 loss to the Bucks on Friday. “It starts with me. I have to do a better job on the ball. We can say we [trust each other], but on the court it shows we’re not pulling in weakside [help]. There’s a lot of things.

“We’ve just got to start somewhere, and that’s the good thing about the league — we can start tomorrow.”

In two games, opponents have shot 50.3 percent against Boston, including 47.1 percent from beyond the arc.

“I’m going to try to come out and set the tone defensively [Saturday night against the Wizards],” Rondo said. “That’s all I can do. We’ve got to each look ourselves in the mirror and find a way to dig down and bring something to what we’ve been doing. Bring a little bit more to the game. I’m the point guard, I’m the first line of defense, I initiate the offense. I’ve got to be better.”


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Monday, November 5, 2012

NBA News 2012: Heat Showing Vulnerabilities

Image used at: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dwyane_Wade
Image used at: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dwyane_Wade (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

The Miami Heat are 2-1, but have allowed an opponent to score over 100 points for the third consecutive game to open the season.

“We understand some teams will score over 100 points when they shoot 47 percent or so,” Chris Bosh said. “But allowing 50 [or higher], that’s a little bit too much. We can’t expect to win a lot of games playing that kind of defense. It’s something to work on and that’s exciting.”

The Heat allowed 72 points near the basket in their win over the Nuggets.

Denver shot 51.8 percent Saturday and out-rebounded the Heat 47-32.

“Offensively we were ahead of we were defensively,” Dwyane Wade said. “We had guys we had to incorporate into the lineup and as you get stronger and in better shape, you get better on defense.

“Once we start making more rotations, it will get better. Right now we have to work it.”

http://basketball.realgm.com/wiretap/224317/Heat_Showing_Vulnerabilities_With_Interior_Defense_Rebounding

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Sunday, November 4, 2012

NBA News 2012: Time To Fear The Beard

Houston Rockets logo
Houston Rockets logo (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

This is what the Houston Rockets have been missing for years, ever since Yao Ming started missing long stretches of games with foot injuries.

Houston fans have known it, too, even if they haven’t put it in so many words. They have seen team after team make great plays and stay tough down the stretch of games, often falling short by a basket or two, a mere handful of points making the difference between a playoff berth and a trip to the lottery.

What the Rockets have been missing is a closer.

Every great team has one. In fact, every playoff team has one. It’s that one player who shrugs off the toughest of defensive schemes to make basket after basket to pull his team ahead for a win. The Oklahoma City Thunder have Kevin Durant, the Miami HEAT have LeBron James, the Dallas Mavericks have Dirk Nowitzki and the Houston Rockets have James Harden.

It’s early, of course, and there is a lot of basketball to be played, but through two games the Rockets have had a presence that left the team when Yao retired.

Harden scored 37 points in Houston’s season-opener against the Detroit Pistons, and in his encore performance he was even better. Unlike the Pistons, the Atlanta Hawks fought back from a 14-point deficit to take the lead late in the fourth quarter. That’s when Harden put the team on his back and scored 18 of his career-high 45 points in the final frame.

Harden didn’t do it alone, of course, but then the Rockets have never been a team to stand around and watch. Jeremy Lin had 21 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists, Omer Asik chipped in a career-high 19 rebounds and Marcus Morris scored a career-high 17 points off the bench.


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Saturday, November 3, 2012

NBA News 2012: Bogut limited

Monta Ellis at the Golden State Warriors' open...
Monta Ellis at the Golden State Warriors' open practice. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

It made perfect sense there were so many high wires incorporated into the Golden State Warriors home opener Friday against the Memphis Grizzlies.

The Bay Bridge replicas that were used during player introductions were lowered by them. The athletic men and women in the Cirque du Soleil style halftime act hung for their entertaining lives from them. The season of one of the Western Conference’s most intriguing teams, quite clearly, is going to be a high-wire act of its own.

As if it’s not enough that a key piece of their promising core, four-year, $44 million man Stephen Curry, has spaghetti ankles that have compromised the early part of his career. Or that one of the team’s most valuable rotation players, veteran Brandon Rush, went down with a left knee injury in the first quarter after colliding with Zach Randolph that — while not yet diagnosed — left the Warriors small forward in tears and led to the Grizzlies forward following him into the opponent’s locker room during a brief break in play to check on his well-being.

All of that, and then there’s this: The Warriors’ main attraction — the center who is nothing short of their centerpiece, Andrew Bogut — is off to a torturous start.

It’s not about his play at this point; Bogut’s left ankle surgery in late April has proven more problematic than he or the Warriors initially thought. So here they are in early November, with Bogut — who was traded by the Milwaukee Bucks with Stephen Jackson for Monta Ellis, Ekpe Udoh and Kwame Brown in late March — limited to 20 minutes a game per doctor’s orders. The plan is to keep it that way until December at the earliest. The playoff race will not wait.

Bogut played 18 minutes in a season-opening win Wednesday at the Phoenix Suns, posting eight points and six rebounds. He logged 18 minutes again in the 104-94 loss to the Grizzlies, adding four points and three rebounds. The frustration seems to be there all the time these days.


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Friday, November 2, 2012

NBA News 2012: Five Second-Year Breakout Candidates

English: Nikola Vucevic playing for USC Trojans
English: Nikola Vucevic playing for USC Trojans (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

While young players often make their NBA reputations in the Rookie of the Year race, it’s impossible to fairly evaluate them until after their sophomore campaigns. The transition between college and the NBA is the biggest jump players make in their careers. NCAA teams play 30 to 40-game seasons spread over five months; NBA teams (normally) cram 82 games into the same period of time.

Even players in powerhouse conferences like the Big East only face NBA-caliber competition once or twice per week, while they might face NBA players at their position a handful of times all season. At the next level, they’re facing NBA players every single night.

Against amateur competition, they can coast defensively because they are such superior athletes. There aren’t any 6’9, 275 small forwards with 40 inch verticals barreling down the lane in college, and there certainly aren’t any 6’11, 265 centers with 40 inch verticals annihilating weak shots at the rim. And while most dominated the ball their whole lives, unless they were drafted at the top of the lottery, NBA rookies have to learn how to be efficient off-ball role players.

The off court transition is just as huge: in college, players are coddled by coaches whose job status depends on keeping them on campus by developing a “family atmosphere” around their program. In the NBA, they are living on their own for the first time, thrust in an unfamiliar city half-way across the country, with highly-publicized seven-figure incomes that make them a target for con men and gold-diggers looking to make a quick buck.

By the time they hit the dreaded “rookie wall”, often for a team going nowhere full of veterans trying to pad their statistics in order to get one more contract, their first year has become mostly about survival.

Last season, my list of second-year breakout players (guys who did not play in the Rookie Game on All-Star Weekend) had Ekpe Udoh, Gordon Hayward, Avery Bradley, Kevin Seraphin and Devin Ebanks on it. Not all “broke out” like Bradley did, but I think all five will last in the NBA. Here are six players from the 2011 draft that could have breakout years in 2012-2013:

Tobias Harris: Harris has slipped under the radar since playing one season for a scandal-laden program at Tennessee and not getting consistent playing time as a rookie. However, there’s a reason he was ranked No. 6 in his high school class. At 6’8 225 with a 6’11 wingspan, he has serious mismatch potential, with the ability to punish smaller defenders on the block and take bigger ones off the dribble. He produced in the rare minutes he got in 2012: per-36 minute averages of 16 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists on 47% shooting.

Nikola Vucevic: Players with his size (6’11 260 with a 7’4 wingspan) and skill level tend to have long careers in the NBA. Vucevic is comfortable with the ball in his hands, moves decently for a big man and can step out and knock down a 15-foot jumper. He never got a consistent role in a Philadelphia team in a playoff race, but an Orlando team going nowhere fast will have nothing but time to develop his game.

Alec Burks: Few lottery picks have ever had a lower profile: Burks was a lightly-regarded three-star recruit out of high school, played two seasons on a Colorado team that just missed the NCAA Tournament and didn’t start a game in his rookie season in Utah. There are several holes in his game: as a rookie, he took less than 1 3-pointer a game and had a assist-to-turnover ratio barely over 1. However, he’s an athletic 6’6 195 slasher with a 6’10 wingspan who can create his own shot and get to the rim (37% of his shots were in the paint in 2012) fairly easily. There aren’t that many guards with that skill-set, even in the lottery.

Jimmy Butler: Butler isn’t great at any one part of the game, but he doesn’t have any glaring weaknesses either. In his final season at Marquette, he shot 49/35/78, was second in points, second in rebounds, fourth in assists, first in blocks and third in steals on a team that went to the Sweet 16. At 6’7 220, that should be enough for him to have a long NBA career, as he can be an effective player regardless of the type of lineup he’s in.

Jordan Hamilton: The polar opposite of Butler in many ways, Hamilton was a five-star prospect who came to Texas with a huge attitude and a one-dimensional game. After nearly driving Rick Barnes insane as a freshman, Hamilton developed into a more well-rounded player and put up better stats than Harrison Barnes did in his sophomore year at UNC: 18.6 points, 7.7 rebounds, 2.1 assists on 44/39/77 shooting. George Karl has never been comfortable playing rookies, but in his second season, the 6’7 220 Hamilton can give Denver some badly needed outside shooting on the perimeter.

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